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USD INDEX (DXY) TECHS: Evaluating The Strength Of The Trend

FOREX

Looking at a daily USD Index (DXY) chart, the current primary uptrend started in January 2021, however, technical trend indicators confirmed a bull cycle in June 2021. A trend tool we monitor is the relationship between the 20- and 50-day EMAs. This indicator highlights the following:

  • In an uptrend, the 20 day EMA is above its 50-day counterpart - this confirms that the slope of the trend is positive.
  • The 50-day EMA represents an important area of support for bulls in an uptrend.
  • When a bull trend corrects and retraces back to levels near or just below the 50-day EMA, it suggests price has arrived at an area where demand is likely to increase and eventually result in a resumption of the uptrend.
  • Importantly, this indicates when a correction is likely over - an important input for bulls during an uptrend.
  • As long as the 20- and 50-day EMAs remain in a bull mode set-up (the 20-day above the 50-day) and price finds support near the 50-day EMA, the primary uptrend remains firmly intact.

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