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USD/JPY Firm, Y109.00 Next Upside Hurdle

JPY
MNI (London)
  • USD/JPY touched a high of Y108.96 in early NY Wednesday, only to ease off to Y108.66 through the NY afternoon, closing the day at Y108.73
  • Early consolidation ahead of the Tokyo open before JPY cross demand emerged that pushed USD/JPY through its Wednesday high and on to Y108.99 before meeting headwind resistance.
  • Rate dipped to Y108.87 before it regained poise and had edged back to Y109.00 into Europe.
  • Rate seen well supported, with leverage accounts wanting to reduce shorts in the Y108.50 area, with Japanese retail accounts also said to be interested in moving into dips.
  • Resistance Y109.00 (61.8% 109.36-108.41) ahead of Y109.14(76.4%), a break to bring recent highs at Y109.33/36 back into play. Above exposes Y109.56(76.4% 111.71-102.59).
  • Traders note that the Y109.25-50 area holds the strikes of $2.2bln of option expiries for today's NY cut. Support Y108.60/40.
  • MNI Techs: USDJPY is slightly firmer but remains within its recent range. Trend conditions remain bullish. Attention is on 109.56, a key retracement where a break would reinforce bullish sentiment. Momentum studies are overbought however this condition is still not having an impact on the trend and instead, the set-up reinforces the current bullish theme. Support to watch is at 108.34, Mar 10 low. A break would signal a possible top and a correction.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com

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