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USD/KRW Upside Capped In The Near Term?

KRW

1 month USD/KRW is trading a tight range in the early part of today, not drifting too far from the 1385/86 level. We spent most of the post Asia close on Friday tracking lower in the pair. Whilst USD/KRW is likely to follow broad USD trends, the near term focus rests with what the authorities do to curb depreciation pressures. The 1400 level seems a firm line in the sand on the topside for now.

  • If we see further profit-taking on long USD/KRW positions be mindful that the pair bottomed out ahead of 1370 on a number of occasions this month.
  • This morning it was reported that FX authorities are requesting that banks report the status of their dollar transactions and positions every hour. This is up from the previous 3 times a day.
  • The authorities have also asked banks not to profit from FX management positions.
  • The meeting with exporters/importers, which was flagged late last week, is scheduled to take place tomorrow.
  • The data calendar is quiet until Wednesday when we get the first 20 days trade data for September.
  • Onshore equities are down in early trade (Kospi -0.40%). Offshore investors sold close to $100mn in local equities on Friday.

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