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USD/RUB Pushes Higher as Uncertainty Builds Into Weekend US-Russia Talks

RUSSIA
  • USD/RUB trades +0.53% higher this morning, brushing off early selling pressure on the BBDXY somewhat with oil +0.15% higher.
  • The cross broadly ignored gains in oil markets following an expected output increase from OPEC+ yesterday – potentially suggesting some risk aversion ahead of US-Russia talks on the weekend and slightly quieter holiday markets.
  • The cross is now approaching 76.00, with RUB underperforming some of its EM peers without the trajectory of the Ukraine crisis seeing any material changes ahead of the meeting.
  • Price action is now approaching overbought levels on the RSI and has corrected +3.79% higher since 27 Dec with Feb & April 2021 levels (76.35-65) coming into focus if we see a move above 75.9190 (26 Nov high).
  • On the international front, the FOMC minutes and PMI data will be the key focus as market look for clues on the path of rate hikes in the US.
  • Intraday Sup1: 75.2853, Sup2: 75.0630, Res1: 75.9091, Res2: 76.21

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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