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Free AccessUSD/RUB Sticky Above 77.50, But Escalating Tensions Risk Further Volatility
- USD/RUB opens flat to lower as early dollar strength pulls back somewhat and gains in oil markets support moderate RUB strength.
- Brent futures notched higher this morning as China's trade data surpassed expectations and March crude imports jumped 21% in signs of burgeoning demand.
- Polls also suggest a possible draw on stockpiles later today in API inventory data.
- USD/RUB remains sticky above the 77.50 handle for now, but with uncertainty still high and tensions over the Ukraine poised to escalate, RUB inflows are likely to remain tentative.
- Sabre-rattling with the US and greater sanctions risk seems to be a more prominent threat at present than the possibility of direct military conflict in the Donbass, with little utility for either side and diplomatic means being pressed over military confrontation.
- USD/RUB remains sensitive to headline risks and ad hoc developments in the Ukraine crisis, but should also be affected by US CPI this afternoon.
- Intraday Sup1: 76.8484, Sup2: 76.4367, Res1: 77.5481, Res2: 78.00
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.