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USD/TRY Holds Its Range Ahead of the CBRT; Socio-Political Pressure Mounts Over Inflation

TURKEY
  • USD/TRY trades +0.20% higher this morning, treading water around the 13.50 level.
  • The cross remained choppy within its lateral range last week, failing to break the upper threshold of the channel pattern at 13.6614-13.30.
  • Although the CBRT meeting will be eyed closely this week, its unlikely to be a majorly eventful meeting with policy likely to be left on hold as Erdogan continues to push back on rate hikes.
  • Internal socio-political pressure is building, however, with more citizens taking to the streets to protest the effects of inflation.
  • This social discontent is being reflected in the polls with more support heading toward the opposition alliance in the run-up to the 2023 elections.
  • On the international front, markets will digest US PPI, Retail sales, Industrial Production and the FOMC minutes as markets brace for tighter Fed policy in 2022.
  • Russia-Ukraine tensions also continues to contribute to weaker global risk sentiment as military drills in Belarus resume.
  • Intraday Sup1: 13.4683, Sup2: 13.4262, Res1: 13.5823, Res2: 13.6344
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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