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USD/TRY Pullback Forms Inverted Hammer Candle, Erdogan Support Under Pressure

TURKEY
  • USD/TRY trades -0.05% lower this morning, mirroring price action in the BBDXY.
  • The cross made a decent round trip in yesterday's session after finding sellers at 8.9371 resistance on the back of more risk positive energy stability comments from Putin that saw upside pressures in the USD recede.
  • This formed a bearish inverted hammer candle pattern on the daily chart, with upside momentum fading somewhat in the near-term.
  • While little info has come out yet about the closed door Greece-Turkey talks, comments from AKP Spox Celik stoked tensions and showed the frayed nature of current relations between the two.
  • Interestingly, the Nation Alliance has also just polled above the People's alliance for the first time since 2018, with Erdogan looking vulnerable into 2023 - under pressure from rising inflation and socio-economic issues such as migration undermining his support base.
  • USD/TRY price action has pulled back into the 8.8335-8.9371 range ahead of US payrolls tomorrow and should trade in line with broad risk sentiment today.
  • Intraday Sup1: 8.8504, Sup2: 8.8335, Res1: 8.8915, Res2: 8.9371

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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