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USD/ZAR Back Below 200dma as Powell Downplays Inflation, Tapering Concerns

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades lower at the open today, tracking the BBDXY and USD/CNH lower as markets digest the FOMC outcomes.
  • Powell showed little concern about the inflation trajectory and pushed tapering expectations further towards the end of the year – resulting in a mostly dovish reaction in the USD.
  • While growth and employment assessments were improved, the focus was predominantly on tapering and inflation.
  • Markets will now look to the Jackson Hole meeting for further guidance from the Fed. Domestically, covid cases notched up by over 10k overnight as testing ramps back up and the effects of social unrest filter through into the numbers.
  • USD/ZAR is likely to trade in line with broad risk sentiment today which appears more favourable thus far this morning.
  • The cross pulled away from the 14.90-15.00 zone and back below the 200dma after making two consecutive bearish gravestone doji candles on the daily chart – next major support seen at 14.40 (38.2% fib)-14.50.
  • PPI data expected to ease slightly, adding to the disinflationary/dovish SARB narrative.
  • Commodities slightly firmer today: gold +0.61%, platinum +0.76%.
  • Intraday Sup1: 14.6577, Sup2: 14.5753, Res1: 14.7583, Res2: 14.8632
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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