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USD/ZAR Edges Higher as Pre-Election Jitters Set In

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades +0.21% higher this morning, tracking early upside in the BBDXY as mixed risk sentiment filters through from the APAC session.
  • The cross rose +0.28% in yesterday's session, broadly ignoring improved risk sentiment in the afternoon and broad USD weakness to press towards 15.20.
  • This suggests some pre-elections risk aversion and concerns over acute energy security issues at Eskom, which look set to remain over the summer period.
  • One factor that slipped somewhat under the radar was FinMin Godongwana laying down the gauntlet to unions by assuming no rise in the public sector wage bill in the 2022-23 year – sending a firm message on his fiscal consolidation objectives.
  • Nevertheless, ZAR was also weighed down yesterday by higher PPI data which precipitated a tighter stance on monetary policy expectations from markets with FRA-Jibar spreads rising from +41 to +60bp following the print.
  • Today's focus will be on 15.2524-15.2949 resistance to see if the recent upside momentum stalls out or looks to move through the level.
  • Intraday Sup1: 15.0546, Sup2: 14.9847, Res1: 15.2524, Res2: 15.2949
  • 3x6 FRA-Jibar Spreads


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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