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USD/ZAR Makes A Run at 15.00, Risk Reversals Show Concerns

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades -0.09% lower this morning, having made an early push towards the 15.00 handle.
  • ZAR remains resilient to Ukraine volatility with risk flows diverting away from RUB amid elevated uncertainty.
  • 1m USD/ZAR risk reversals have, however, started to tick higher as markets begin to question ZAR strength underpinned by firm commodities.
  • Gold has moved to a new 7-month high amid global risk-off conditions, underpinning SA’s terms of trade which remain at decent levels.
  • Opposition parties have taken aim at Ramaphosa’s Cabinet, calling for votes of no confidence in underperforming ministers, which will need to be monitored.
  • US PPI data will be the big-ticket item today following last week’s upside surprise in CPI that precipitated extensive USD-side volatility.
  • The cross remains within its fair value range (14.80-15.50), adding pressure on the 15.00 handle with the 200dma rising towards spot at 14.90.
  • Intraday Sup1: 15.0693, Sup2: 14.9847, Res1: 15.2155, Res2: 15.2844

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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