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USD/ZAR Pressures 15.00 Support On the Back of FOMC Minutes

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades +0.25% higher this morning, tracking price action in the BBDXY.
  • The cross fell -0.73% yesterday, making an attempt at the 15.00 handle following the conclusion of the FOMC minutes, which were interpreted as slightly less hawkish than expected.
  • Local CPI also showed signs of peaking in December at 5.9% y/y after printing at 5.7% y/y in Jan – forcing markets to trim rate hike bets slightly.
  • 3x6 FRA-Jiba3m spreads narrowed 6bp to +40.5bp, while 9x12 FRAs dropped 14bp to +139bp – although both remain notably above a few local shops calling for an additional +75bp of hikes in 2022.
  • Commodities continue to tick higher this morning with gold +0.31% & platinum +1.10% - supporting firmer terms of trade.
  • USD weakness continues to support downside in the cross, with pressure building on the 15.00 level.
  • A break through here opens up the 200dma below at 14.90. Intraday Sup1: 14.9818, Sup2: 14.8884, Res1: 15.1483, Res2: 15.2155
  • 9x12 FRA-Jibar3m


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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