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USDCAD Climbing Ahead Of BoC Decision

CANADA
  • A recent rise in USDCAD gathers pace at 1.3195 (+0.32%) as CAD continues to modestly outperform Antipodeans amidst USD strength.
  • It earlier stopped just a few pips shy of testing initial resistance at 1.3208 (Sep 1 high), with any dovish slant from the BoC potentially opening key resistance at 1.3224 (Jul 14 highs) and late 2020 levels after that.
  • On the flip side, support is seen at 1.3075 (Sep 2 low) but could take a notable hawkish surprise to sustain a move lower, with the complication of Mester (’22 voter) speaking at the same time.
  • Little impetus from international trade data, with a larger than expected trade surplus in July offset by a small downward revision to June. Volumes data indicated a net trade boost from a GDP perspective but with weaker implications for domestic demand (exports +1.7%, imports -1.4%).

Source: Bloomberg

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