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USDCAD Close To Notable Recent Lows

CANADA
  • USDCAD has drifted lower to 1.3611 for a 30 pip decline off session highs, back closer to its overnight low of 1.3590.
  • The trend pullback for the pair has seen clearance of support at 1.3637 (50-day EMA) and 1.3610 (May 3 low). A clearer break of these levels would threaten the bullish theme and instead signal scope for a deeper retracement with further support at 1.3547 (Apr 9 low).
  • The pullback has been relatively steady though, still a little way from triggering oversold territory on a 14-day RSI basis (43 currently).
  • Tomorrow’s option expiry tilts higher, with $827m at 1.3675 plus $511m at 1.3725 and $584m at 1.3735. There is limited data with firm domestic focus on Tuesday’s CPI release.

USDCAD pullback doesn't yet test oversold conditionsSource: Bloomberg

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