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USDCAD Extends Session Lows As Equities Gaining

CANADA
  • Growing USD weakness and equity strength on the day, rather than a BoC reaction to which there was little immediate move earlier, drives USDCAD to session lows at 1.3131 but still towards the top of yesterday’s range.
  • The move comes despite oil sliding, with the negative correlation to the pair once again fading (20-day rolling sitting at just -0.23).
  • Despite a brief clearance of 1.32 ahead of the BoC, technical levels haven’t been troubled today with resistance still seen at 1.3224 (Jul 14 highs, with late 2020 levels beyond that) and support at 1.3075 (Sep 2 low).
  • Looking beyond the upcoming Fed’s Beige Book and VC for Supervision Barr, attention will turn to the ECB/Powell tomorrow before locally, BoC Senior Dep Gov Rogers and then Canadian employment on Friday.

USDCAD (white) and front-end Can-US yield differential Source: Bloomberg

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