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USDCAD Within Post-CPI Range, BoC Minutes Likely A Brief Distraction Before FOMC
- USDCAD at ~1.358 is just 10-15 pips above pre-CAD CPI levels, after the miss helped spark yesterday’s increase to 1.3614.
- The clearance of the bull trigger at 1.3606 (Feb 28 high) has opened 1.3623 (61.8% retrace of Nov 1 – Dec 27 bear leg).
- The FOMC decision is going to set the near-term tone though. We expect limited reaction to today’s BoC Minutes just beforehand at 1330ET. The weaker CPI has made them stale with local focus on Gravelle tomorrow for a) any indication of QT changes and b) reaction to CPI in the Q&A.
- One of the more dovish lines from what was ultimately a more hawkish than expected BoC on Mar 6 was the point that wage growth may be easing, with any further details here of note.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.