Free Trial

USDCNH Biased To Upside Despite Greenback Weakness

EMERGING MARKETS
  • The ECB is likely to keep rates at current levels beyond the second quarter of next year, a leading German government adviser told MNI, but he added that it had been unwise to commit to keeping policy unchanged for an extended period. “I think monetary policy rates will stay where they are until late 2024,” said Oliver Holtemoeller, vice president of the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), and a member of the Federal Stability Council Advisory Board.
  • USD/CNH has been reluctant to trade lower once again, despite the broader USD trading on the defensive through early London hours. The subsequent stabilisation and move away from worst levels in the BBDXY resulted in fresh session highs above 7.1650 in recent trade. Macro worry surrounding China (a heavy session for the Chinese property sector in equity trade, notably slower Y/Y growth in Chinese industrial profits in November and weekend stories re: the shadow banking sector) and expectations for continued liquidity injections from the PBoC re: facilitating bond issuance and preventing liquidity squeezes, were the most obvious yuan-bearish news factors.
  • Pressure is mounting on Israel to extend a ceasefire agreement in Gaza to secure the release of further hostages after Hamas said it was open to extending the truce. Hamas said it was willing to prolong the ceasefire, which is due to expire on Monday evening after the final scheduled release of 11 Israeli hostages. (The Times)

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.