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October 17, 2018 01:30 GMT

USDCNH continues to trade in.............>

Stuart Allsopp

CHINA YUAN

CHINA YUAN: USDCNH continues to trade in lackluster fashion around 6.9100,

showing very little reaction to the rally in global stocks.

- The recovery in Asian FX should act as a tailwind for the yuan but rate

spreads versus the US are still a headwind. Chinese 2-year rate swaps continue

to hover around the 2.90% level as the gap with the US widens.

- Given the wide 2-year spread, a rally in Chinese stocks will likely be needed

to trigger a sustained drop in USDCNH. Chinese stocks and rate expectations are

becoming increasingly positively correlated, so a recovery in stocks should

benefit rate expectations.

Markets Fixed Income News Foreign Exchange News

Stuart Allsopp

Markets Fixed Income News Foreign Exchange News

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