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USDCOP Rises Above 4,000, Eyes 4,106 Resistance

LATAM FX
  • LatAm FX has come under substantial pressure on Monday amid the deterioration in global equity benchmarks and rising yields.
    • The majority of currencies are seen roughly 2.5% lower against the greenback, with the Peruvian Sol (-0.9%) relatively outperforming the EM basket.
  • As noted, USDMXN has breached the earlier highs as well as the 200-day moving average. This narrows the gap with a key technical point at 20.6378 the Apr 28 high. It marks an important resistance, of which a break would suggest potential for an extension higher.
  • Worth noting USDCOP (+2.46%) is now back above the psychological point of 4,000. Of more interest perhaps, this opens the potential for a test of the upper-bound of the more significant medium-term range at 4,106.
  • Below gives key levels of LatAm markets in current trade:
    • USDMXN up 2.64% at 20.4884
    • USDBRL up 2.7% at 5.1209
    • USDCLP up 2.94% at 870.53
    • USDCOP up 2.54% at 4041.35
    • USDPEN up 0.84% at 3.7935
    • Bloomberg Dollar Index up 0.98% at 1265.43
    • USDCNH up 0.68% at 6.7757
    • JPMorgan EM Ccy Index down 1.25% at 51.373

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