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MEXICO: USDMXN Edges Higher Amid Tariff Uncertainty, TIIE-F Swap Rates Decline

MEXICO
  • Despite the ongoing pressures at Pemex and broad greenback strength following the retraction of the tariff deadline extension by President Trump, the Mexican peso has remained relatively resilient today. USDMXN trades around the 20.50 level, just 0.3% higher on the day, below yesterday’s high at 20.55 and initial resistance at 20.7132, the Feb 05 high.
  • Pemex CFO Juan Carlos Carpio said that the reorganisation of the company will be finished in the coming weeks and that a business plan for the period through 2030 will be published by Q3.
  • In the Q4 earnings call, Carpio also said that state support for Pemex’s debt will continue and that the company is working with banks and the finance ministry on a plan to speed up payments to its suppliers.
  • Meanwhile, the finance ministry is considering how it may use Pemex’s debt ceiling for liability management operations.
  • TIIE-F swap rates are slightly outperforming, with yields down by a further 2-3bp, taking the decline in long-end yields over the last week, after the dovish tilt from Banxico, to over 25bp.
  • Following today’s increase in the unemployment rate to 2.7% in January, tomorrow’s public balance and net outstanding loans figures are unlikely to have a major impact on sentiment.
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  • Despite the ongoing pressures at Pemex and broad greenback strength following the retraction of the tariff deadline extension by President Trump, the Mexican peso has remained relatively resilient today. USDMXN trades around the 20.50 level, just 0.3% higher on the day, below yesterday’s high at 20.55 and initial resistance at 20.7132, the Feb 05 high.
  • Pemex CFO Juan Carlos Carpio said that the reorganisation of the company will be finished in the coming weeks and that a business plan for the period through 2030 will be published by Q3.
  • In the Q4 earnings call, Carpio also said that state support for Pemex’s debt will continue and that the company is working with banks and the finance ministry on a plan to speed up payments to its suppliers.
  • Meanwhile, the finance ministry is considering how it may use Pemex’s debt ceiling for liability management operations.
  • TIIE-F swap rates are slightly outperforming, with yields down by a further 2-3bp, taking the decline in long-end yields over the last week, after the dovish tilt from Banxico, to over 25bp.
  • Following today’s increase in the unemployment rate to 2.7% in January, tomorrow’s public balance and net outstanding loans figures are unlikely to have a major impact on sentiment.