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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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USDMXN Edges Toward Next Support, Banxico Decision Thursday
- USDMXN is slowly edging towards the key support at 19.4136, the May 30 low. Below here, we have 19.2802, which is the 1.00 projection of the Jul 14 - Sep 12 - Sep 28 price swing.
- The bi-weekly Citi survey of Mexico analysts saw 2022 year-end inflation forecasts cut to 8.50% from 8.54%, also cutting 2023 year-end projections to 5.10% from 5.11%. Of note, 2022 GDP was raised to 2.50% from 2.00% and 2023 GDP was cut to 0.90% from 1.10%. The 2022 year-end exchange rate was lowered to 20.30 from 20.50.
- All 26 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg are forecasting a 75bp hike from Banxico on Thursday, bringing the overnight rate to 10.00%. Most appear to be calling for a unanimous decision, however, some analysts highlight there are risks of less-hawkish members signalling the potential to de-couple from the Fed as we enter the latter stages of the hiking cycle. This could come by either a dissenting vote for a smaller hike or potentially within the minutes on November 24.
- The full MNI preview with analyst views will be published later today.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.