Free Trial

VIEW: ANZ: Sticking To The Plan, Keeping Options Open

RBNZ

ANZ note that “the RBNZ raised the OCR by 50bps to 3.50% today, as expected, maintaining that “it remains appropriate to continue to tighten monetary conditions at pace”.”

  • “We continue to expect another 50bp hike at the November Monetary Policy Statement, with 25bp moves in each of the first three meetings of 2023, taking the OCR to a peak of 4.75%.”
  • “We see risks on both sides of that. On the downside, current global market volatility could quickly turn into something uglier; on the upside, core inflation may not fall as fast or as far as projected.”
  • “Interestingly, the Summary Record of Meeting showed the Committee discussed the merits of 50bps vs 75bps. That possibly reflects where the Committee see the skew of risks, and is a very different vibe to the RBA’s 25bp hike yesterday.”
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.