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VIEW: Goldman Sachs note that "the weaker.......>

RBA
RBA: VIEW: Goldman Sachs note that "the weaker growth outlook will inevitably
spill-over into the labour market, and house prices are likely to soften
alongside a deterioration in buyer sentiment. Consistent with expected easing
from a number of the world's major central banks, we now expect the RBA to cut
the cash rate 50bp to 0.25% under our baseline scenario. As our global team
notes, while rate cuts won't stop the virus, they can help to cushion the
economic impact on households and markets - and if the RBA fails to cut, then we
think financial conditions will be tighter than they need to be. We view exact
timing of the cuts as somewhat uncertain, but our base case assumes a 25bp cut
in March and April and we stress that a 50bp rate cut at this Tuesday's meeting
cannot be ruled-out. While the current number of cases in Australia remains
small, we see little value in waiting given how quickly the balance of risks has
deteriorated (we note, for example, the Government's travel ban from Iran over
the weekend)."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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