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VIEW: On Thursday TD Securities wrote....>

CHINA YUAN
CHINA YUAN: VIEW: On Thursday TD Securities wrote "policymaker rhetoric has
emphasized the near-term importance of the 7.00 level in USD/CNY, while the
reintroduction of the counter-cyclical factor in the daily fixing attempts to
stabilize CNY and tame the pace of CFETS depreciation. We believe that past any
near-term consideration over disorderly CNY adjustment, the 7.00 level will be
allowed to eventually fall if seen as fundamentally necessary. Considerations
regarding the need to adjust against
tariff impact as well as preserve FX reserves against much higher external debt
levels should dominate China's priorities. We remain bearish CNY, seeing the
need for further macro adjustment, and the risk that additional U.S. actions
drag on China's economy, during a drawn-out trade war. We thus continue to see
7.20 achieved in the coming months (though the near-term defence of 7.00 may
delay that), and the potential for a surge in offshore renminbi points and
CNH-Hibor funding costs."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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