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Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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Global Macro
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Announces Raft Of Key Nominations
BRIEF: EU-Mercosur Deal In Final Negotiations - EC
VIEW: On Thursday TD wrote that "Chinese......>
CHINA: VIEW: On Thursday TD wrote that "Chinese data continues to decelerate
rapidly & we do not expect a near term change in this dynamic. This may
increasingly generate pressure & exp. for an aggressive shift in the mon &
fiscal pol reaction functions, which could be problematic for CNY. This is not
our base case & we exp. that while the policy response is shifting more
proactively, it will remain nuanced & targeted. A much more aggressive Chinese
rates-based response remains possible however, but depends on the global macro
context & pivoting particularly on the Fed's stance & broad USD performance.
Trade negotiations with the U.S. will play a role, and the incentives for both
sides to come to an agreement, even if only superficial, are strengthening.
Acknowledging the -ve impact of the recently re-priced Fed outlook & government
shutdown on the USD, we have also revised our USDCNY forecast lower, but see
near term upside risks from here. We see USDCNY being pushed to 6.90 by end of
Q2, but then recover to 6.70 by end of '19 (vs. 7.00 prev), and 6.30 by end of
'20 (vs. 6.60 prev). We still believe that the topside remains a risk for USDCNY
in the near term, but dependent on the trade war resolution with the U.S."
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.