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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessVIEW: TD Remove Call For 75bp Hike, Slight Delay To Terminal Rate
TD Securities write “we had forecast a 75bps RBA hike at next week's meeting. We now expect the Bank to hike 50bps at the meeting. With Q2 headline inflation underwhelming ours and street forecasts and the Fed unlikely to deliver a 100bp hike, a 75bp RBA hike is difficult to justify. Headline inflation above 6% y/y and trimmed mean inflation at 4.9% y/y, the highest since 2003, keeps 50bp RBA hikes on the map. Aside from amending our Aug call, our rate hike path remains unchanged in 2022 - Sep +50bp, with 25bps hikes in Oct, Nov, Dec taking the year-end cash rate at 3.10%. Our terminal rate forecast remains unchanged at 3.35%, but is now reached in Feb'23, not Dec'22, as per our prior forecast.”
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.