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VIEW: Wednesday saw Bank of America Research....>

FED
FED: VIEW: Wednesday saw Bank of America Research note that "Fed large-scale
market intervention has successfully achieved its primary objective: to restore
market functioning and keep credit flowing. Fed programs are primarily designed
as "backstop" facilities with punitive rates. The Fed seems to judge their
success not by total usage but by activity in the underlying markets they
target. Reflecting this, we estimate Fed credit and muni program use will see
~15% of potential. We believe several of these programs may have to shift from
their "backstop" design to more explicitly easing financial conditions, given
the expected depth and length of the current recession. Specifically, we expect
(1) UST and agency MBS purchases to shift from focus primarily on market
functioning to easing macro conditions and (2) increased political pressure to
revise Main Street Lending and muni terms to increase credit and lending
activity. We may also see the Fed allocating more funds to secondary market
credit purchases. Such shifts would support lower real rates and risky assets."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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