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Wage Growth Cools But Some Confusing Details

US DATA
  • Softer than expected AHE growth of +0.31% M/M in April was partially offset by an upward revision to +0.47% M/M in March.
  • The non-supervisory measure saw a broadly similar +0.37% M/M in what’s been a clear slowing to a 3mma of 0.31% M/M after 0.56% in the preceding three months.
  • Details get confusing. Total AHE shows a drag from services on solid declines in retail (-0.44%) and utilities (-0.64% but volatile). Retail is noteworthy being the largest decline since Oct’20 and Dec’16 before that when looking beyond pandemic disruption.
  • Conversely, the small acceleration on the month in non-supervisory AHE was led by services (and with retail holding steady at a subdued +0.15% M/M).

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