Free Trial

Weaker Greenback Supports Both Crude Futures and Precious Metals

COMMODITIES
  • Crude markets are finishing the day stronger, boosted by a weakening in the US dollar with front month WTI up around 1.9% at 78.08$/bbl. Focus remains on headlines from the middle east where most recently wires carried comments from Houthi leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi stating that "We will continue our operations as long as Israel continues its crimes."
  • Separately, Global oil demand growth is forecast to rise by 1.2mbpd, unchanged from last month’s report, according to the IEA Monthly Oil Market Report.
  • Recent gains in WTI futures, since Feb 5, appears to be a correction - for now. Key short-term resistance has been defined at $79.29, the Jan 29 high. Clearance of this level would be a bullish development.
  • For natural gas, Henry Hub has continued its downtrend amid additional pressure from below-expectation storage draw. Front-month remains at a seven-month low, down -1.4% on Thursday at 1.59$/mmbtu.
  • The weaker greenback helped precious metals climb, although silver (+2.34%) has outpaced the advance for gold (+0.57%) on Thursday.
  • Technical conditions for spot gold may be limiting the advance, following the prior breach this week of $2001.9, the Jan 17 low and a key short-term support. The breach highlights a resumption of the bear leg that started Dec 28. A continuation lower would open $1973.2, the Dec 13 low and the next key support. On the upside, the yellow metal would need to clear resistance at $2065.5, the Feb 1 high, to reinstate a bullish theme.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.