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Weakest Link In The G10 Space

JPY

USD/JPY is back above 132.00, last near 132.10/150, around +0.60% higher for the session. The yen is the weakest performer within the G10 so far today, with CAD next worst at -0.25%. Last Monday, post payrolls, the high came in just above 132.90, but prior to that we have the 50-day EMA at 132.71.

  • USD/JPY is now +1.80% up on Friday's lows, which came about post BoJ leadership headlines.
  • The pair also looks to be playing some catch up with the more supportive yield backdrop for the USD. The chart below plots USD/JPY versus the US-JP 10yr swap rate yield spread.
  • The disconnect has not been large but the two series have shared a tight correlation in recent months. This is likely to be a focus for markets as we approach Tuesday's US CPI print.

Fig 1: USD/JPY Versus US-JP 10yr Spread


Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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