December 27, 2024 09:29 GMT
BONDS: Weakness Extends
BONDS
Little respite for core global FI markets, even with crude oil futures ticking away from session highs and European equities recovering from session lows.
- Bearish technical themes intact across the space.
- Spill over from OATs likely the key driver for this morning’s sell off, after French PM Bayrou outlined his desire to cut the deficit (a policy goal that factored into the demise of the previous PM & government).
- Thin liquidity also factoring into the moves.
- Bund futures through next support at 133.22, trading as low as 133.10 with bears now eying the November 18 low (132.95).
- German yields 2.5-6.5bp higher across the curve, bear steepening.
- 2.40% the next yield target for Bund bears, which protects the November 14 high (2.424%)
- EGBs little changed to 1.5bp wider vs. Bunds, OATs and BTPs widen the most.
- OAT/Bund & BTP/Bund within multi-week/month ranges.
- Next support in gilt futures (91.73) tested, with lows of 91.72 registered.
- UK yields 3-6bp higher, 5- to 10-Year zone leading the weakness.
- Gilt spread to Bunds ~1bp wider at 225bp, after the recent retrace from cycle closing highs above 230bp.
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