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Wednesday saw Goldman Sachs note that....>

EURO-SWISS
EURO-SWISS: Wednesday saw Goldman Sachs note that "recent events in Europe have
put substantial appreciation pressure on the Swiss Franc. But, with the currency
already significantly overvalued and the policy rate deeply negative,
policymakers have concentrated their efforts on mitigating FX appreciation.
Through a combination of approaches, we estimate that there are only two
comparable periods of FX policy action by the Swiss National Bank
(SNB)-mid-2012, when it defended the minimum EUR/CHF rate at the height of Euro
area tensions, and early-2015 just before removing the floor. Historically, this
level of activity has not lasted for very long. The SNB has said it tends to
guard against sharp, temporary market pressures, but has been wary of more
persistent intervention. While more benign scenarios are certainly possible, we
think there are asymmetric risks towards more CHF appreciation. The Franc is
trading persistently weaker than fundamentals, and these pressures on the
currency look unlikely to abate anytime soon. We continue to recommend that
investors go short EUR/CHF, targeting 1.02 in 3 months."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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