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What to Watch: Russia/Ukraine Headline Risk; Metals/Oil Retreats

MARKET INSIGHT

FI markets trading weaker again, holding lower range after Tsys followed Gilts lower in early London trade. No specific headlines to point to, however, other than de-escalation hopes and humanitarian corridors underway. Russia officials claims no intention of toppling the Ukrainian government, preferring to achieve goals via talks.

  • That said, CIA Director William Burns said Putin ‘has been stewing in a combustible combination of grievance and ambition for many years.’ Burns continued: ‘I think Putin is angry and frustrated right now. He’s likely to double down and try to grind down the Ukrainian military with no regard for civilian casualties.’
  • Crude and metals scaling back: WTI trading around 119.5 vs. 129.0 high Tuesday; after Gold topped $2069 yesterday, currently trading around 2005.0.
  • Congressional leaders have released 2,700-page text of a bipartisan USD$1.5 trillion government funding deal. The House will take up the bill this morning but a four-day continuing resolution extending funding until March 15 will also be voted on in case the Senate needs more time to pass the bill.
  • Another day of limited data: JOLTS Job Openings (10950k est) at 1000ET
  • NY Fed buy operations winding down: Tsy 2.25Y-4.5Y, appr $4.025B at 1030ET
  • US Tsy $34B 10Y Note auction re-open (91282CDY4) at 1300ET.

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