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What to Watch: Fed Speak, Tsy Supply, Geopol Items

MARKET INSIGHT

Tsys trading modestly higher, near late overnight high on light early summer volumes (TYU2<245k), no significant data until CPI on Wednesday. However, NY Fed Williams speaks on LIBOR transition at NY Fed/UK FCA conf at 1400ET

  • Yield curves little steeper, 2s and 5s remain inverted vs. 10s while 2s5s trades above 0.0 at 2.013 (+0.764). Stocks weaker, extending lows: ESU2 -28.25 at 3873.0; Crude weaker on soft demand tied to latest round of Covid, WTI -2.94 at 101.85; Gold -6.64 at 1735.84.
  • Tsy Auctions:
    • US Tsy $51M 13W, $42B 26W bill auctions at 1130ET
    • US Tsy $43B 3Y Note auction (91282CEY3) at 1300ET
  • Modest incoming corporate debt issuance:
    • $Benchmark MUFG 3NC2 fix/FRN, 6NC5, 11NC10
    • $Benchmark BPCE 5Y, 11NC10
  • Geopol: Keeping eye on three items: According to Deutsche Welle, Russia has halted the transit of Kazakhstani oil to the EU via the CPC pipeline by closing access to Russia's largest Black Sea port, Novorossiysk.
  • Japan PM Kishida's LDP Secure Gains In Upper House Elections
  • British politics, who will replace PM Boris Johnson? Conservative Leadership Race Could Be Whittled Down By 1922 Committee Rules.

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