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What to Watch: Durables/Cap Goods, US Gov Funding

US TSYS
  • US rates recovering from Tue's sell-off, running firmer but off recent highs after yields climbed to new 16Y highs yesterday (10YY 4.5622%). Curves mixed: 2Y10Y +3.013 at -55.929 (mid-May lvl), 5y30Y -1.604 at 5.189.
  • Fed speak: MN Fed President Kashkari making the rounds again this morning (CNN, CNBC), reprising higher for long stance if inflation persists: "holding rates through 2024" (despite dots showing a cut next year).
  • Upcoming data at the bottom of the hour Durable Goods Orders and Cap Goods.
  • US Treasury supply $52B 17W Bill and $24B 2Y FRN Note auctions at 1130ET, $49B 5Y Note auction (91282CJA0) at 1300ET.
  • Headline watching regarding US government funding ahead potential shutdown on October 1. Punchbowl News writes, “right now, it seems exceedingly likely that the federal government is going to shut down this weekend. Full stop.”

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