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Within Touching Distance Of 2021 Lows

SGD

Further gains in the greenback saw USD/SGD finish higher on the day, the third straight day of gains. The rate now sits just below the 2021 high of 1.3531 – last changing hands at 1.3479.

  • It was reported yesterday that Singapore and Indonesia would both gradually allow more tourism in their respective countries. It was emphasized that the opening of borders would proceed in a safe, gradual and cautious manner.
  • Swaps have continued to rise this week, 5-year swaps are just below March highs, but some 28.25bps higher in 2021.
  • USD/SGD remains between its 100-day and 200-day moving average, though it is now within 50 pips of taking out the 200-day MA at 1.3528. Bulls look for a clean break of 1.3509, a 23.6% retracement level of the move from March 2020 peak to March 2021 trough, above here the 2021 high at 1.3531 is in focus.
  • On the downside support is seen at 1.3443, a 23.6% retracement level of the 2021 move from low to high, with more significant support seen at 1.3388 a 38.2% retracement level that has survived three challenges so far in March.
  • Markets look ahead to industrial production data at 0500GMT/1300HKT
  • Fig.1: USD/SGD

  • Source: MNI/Bloomberg


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