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Won Continues To Outperform Amid Equity Strength

KRW

1 month USD/KRW continued to track lower post the Asia close on Friday, the pair getting to fresh lows in the 1285/86 region by the NY close. This was a won gain of nearly 0.7% for Friday's session and fresh lows in the pair back to late Mar. Note Mar 23 lows come in close to 1274, in terms of a fresh potential downside target. The simple 50-day MA sits back close to 1301.50. Note onshore spot ended Friday's session at 1291.65.

  • The won was the strongest Asia FX performer last week (slightly shading IDR). Fresh gains in onshore equities are helping sentiment. To recap, the Kospi rallied a further 1.16% on Friday to fresh cyclical highs, the chart below overlays the index against 1 month USD/KRW (inverted on the chart).
  • Friday also saw chunky offshore investor flows of $445.1mn, bringing last week flows into positive territory.
  • Tech related equities modestly outperformed in US trade on Friday (SOX +0.30%, MSCI IT 0.46%), while US futures have opened with a positive tone today.
  • On the data front today, first 10 days of June trade data crosses at 9am local time. BoK Governor Rhee also gives a speech to mark the 73rd anniversary of the central bank.

Fig 1: Kospi Versus 1 Month USD/KRW (inverted)

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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