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Won Rises On Strong CPI

KRW

USD/KRW gapped lower at the open following CPI data, last trades at 1120.75, down 3.10. The pair rose through the session yesterday and has retraced around half of the gain.

  • Data pre-market showed South Korean CPI rose at the fastest pace since 2017 in April, rising 2.3% Y/Y against estimates of a 2.1% gain and faster than the 1.5% rise in March. Core CPI rose 1.4% against estimates of 1.2%. Tracking subcomponents, the increase was driven by commodity and energy prices thanks to a low base effect, while agricultural products also rose. At the April meeting BoK Governor Lee noted that inflation would hover around the bank's 2% target with the possibility of an overshoot, before slipping later in the year. The Vice Governor has said that the bank will seek to stabilize prices in Q2.
  • Fig.1: South Korea CPI Y/Y

Source: MNI/Statistics Korea


  • The BoK will release the minutes from its April meeting at 0800BST/1600KST ahead of a market holiday in South Korea tomorrow. Markets will look to the minutes for confirmation that policy normalization is still a long way off despite possible overshoots on growth and inflation.
  • On the coronavirus front South Korea reported 448 daily new virus cases,l back to the 400s as fewer people took new virus tests over the weekend with concerns over another round of the pandemic still worrisome amid a low vaccine supply. Due to worries over a potential rise in new cases amid warm weather, health authorities extend social distancing rules and a ban on private gatherings of five or more people for three more weeks until May 23.

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