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WTI-Brent Spread Blows Wider as Seaborne Premium Surges

COMMODITIES
  • The WTI-Brent spread has blown wider early Thursday, with the surge in Brent crude oil prices adding a considerable premium over West Texas grade, with Russia's full blown invasion into Ukraine raising the risk of supply disruptions across Europe.
  • The Brent premium over WTI is now over $5/bbl for the first time since the COVID crisis (and the notorious episode of negative crude futures prices) while the Brent crude futures curve steepens aggressively.
  • Market focus turns to any further sanctions and counter-sanctions traded between Russia and the West, while the weekly DoE data also crosses (one day delayed due to the US market holiday on Monday).
  • Markets expect a build of ~150k bbls for headline stockpiles, while gasoline and distillate inventories are seen showing a draw of 1.4-1.9mln bbls.
Brent's premium over WTI blows wider on Ukraine crisis:

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