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AMERICAS OIL: WTI Off Low but down notably after Colombia Reverses Course

AMERICAS OIL

January 27 - Americas End-of-Day Oil Summary: WTI Off Low of $72.44 but down notably after Colombia Reverses Course and Accepts Deportees from US

  • Energy markets also slumped in concert with slumping equity markets, which are significantly lower following the DeepSeek Chinese rollout that undermined technology stocks.
  • President Trump had threatened to impose a 25% tariff on Colombia after they initially refused to receive a planeload of migrants being sent back from the US. However, the White House said Colombia had agreed to the US terms, and the crisis was averted.
  • A survey of about 50 private explorers working across the major US shale basins showed almost two-thirds expect output to grow by 5% or less this year, Jefferies analysts wrote.
  • The NOAA 6–14-day outlook is net bearish, with above-normal temperatures expected in the Southeast and mid-Atlantic regions while the far Northwest is below normal. Thus, the outlook is bearish with only part of PADD 5 expecting elevated heating demand.
    • WTI Mar futures were down 2.0% at $73.17
    • WTI Apr futures were down 2.0% at $72.50
    • RBOB Feb futures were down 1.0% at $2.03
    • ULSD Feb futures were down 2.3% at $2.46
  • CVR 132 kb/d Coffeyville refinery in Kansas started a turnaround early, by about three weeks Bloomberg said. The 45-day turnaround includes all main processing units at the plant that processes medium-sour crude.
  • Global airline passenger capacity is set to decline by 0.61m seats on the seven days commencing from Jan 27, OAG said.
  • Global implied passenger jet fuel demand remained stable in the week to Jan 27 according to BNEF.
  • OPIS’ Tom Kloza says Goldman Sachs reiterated its view of $3.30/gal average retail gasoline this year while leaving crude targets unchanged. 
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January 27 - Americas End-of-Day Oil Summary: WTI Off Low of $72.44 but down notably after Colombia Reverses Course and Accepts Deportees from US

  • Energy markets also slumped in concert with slumping equity markets, which are significantly lower following the DeepSeek Chinese rollout that undermined technology stocks.
  • President Trump had threatened to impose a 25% tariff on Colombia after they initially refused to receive a planeload of migrants being sent back from the US. However, the White House said Colombia had agreed to the US terms, and the crisis was averted.
  • A survey of about 50 private explorers working across the major US shale basins showed almost two-thirds expect output to grow by 5% or less this year, Jefferies analysts wrote.
  • The NOAA 6–14-day outlook is net bearish, with above-normal temperatures expected in the Southeast and mid-Atlantic regions while the far Northwest is below normal. Thus, the outlook is bearish with only part of PADD 5 expecting elevated heating demand.
    • WTI Mar futures were down 2.0% at $73.17
    • WTI Apr futures were down 2.0% at $72.50
    • RBOB Feb futures were down 1.0% at $2.03
    • ULSD Feb futures were down 2.3% at $2.46
  • CVR 132 kb/d Coffeyville refinery in Kansas started a turnaround early, by about three weeks Bloomberg said. The 45-day turnaround includes all main processing units at the plant that processes medium-sour crude.
  • Global airline passenger capacity is set to decline by 0.61m seats on the seven days commencing from Jan 27, OAG said.
  • Global implied passenger jet fuel demand remained stable in the week to Jan 27 according to BNEF.
  • OPIS’ Tom Kloza says Goldman Sachs reiterated its view of $3.30/gal average retail gasoline this year while leaving crude targets unchanged.