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XU100 Index Continues to Soar as Erdogan Promises Lower Rates

TURKEY
  • Since the start of October, the XU100 index has risen +31.89% - driven higher by rate cuts and ultra-dovish guidance from Erdogan on the rates trajectory.
  • Markets are anticipating another rate cut in December with Erdogan pressing his preference for single digit rates all the way into 2023 elections.
  • From a valuation standpoint the index trades off a 7.62x P/E & 1.28x P/B, which still ranks as very cheap vs the MSCI EM index at 13.72x P/E & 1.79x P/B.
  • Price action has now decisively moved through the 1,800 handle and continues to trade in overbought territory with the index up almost 3% today.
  • Key Support stands at 1,672 (38.3% Fib) followed by the 1614-1589 zone. Next major resistance comes in around the 2,000 level.
  • XU100 & 1-Wk Repo


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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