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Yen Hovers Above Multi-Year Lows

JPY

Monday was a bullish inside day for USD/JPY, as the rate oscillated within a familiar range, in close proximity to recent multi-year highs. The rate struggled for a clear direction.

  • USD/JPY 1-month implied volatility registered its highest levels since Mar 15 on Monday, but has eased a tad since and last sits at 6.59%.
  • Formal campaigning for the Oct 31 general election begins today. 465 seats up for grabs, with 289 lawmakers elected in single-seat districts and 176 by a party-list system of proportional representation. The ruling LDP-Komeito coalition held 305 seats before the dissolution of the House of Representatives.
  • On the data front, trade balance (Wednesday) as well as national CPI & flash Jibun Bank PMIs (Friday) take focus from here.
  • USD/JPY last trades at Y114.30, little changed on the day. A break above the upper 2.0% 10-DMA envelope at Y115.46 provides the initial layer of resistance. On the flip side, losses past Oct 12 low of Y113.00 would open up Sep 30 high of Y112.08, a recent breakout level.

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