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Heading South




Breaches Key Short-Term Support


Late SOFR/Treasury Option Trade

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(Z0) Looking For A Break Higher

  • RES 4: 179-20 76.4% retracement of the Aug 6 - 28 downleg
  • RES 3: 179-18 High Aug 11
  • RES 2: 178-17 High Sep 3 and the bull trigger
  • RES 1: 177-14 High Sep 17
  • PRICE: 177-05 @ 11:42 BST, Sep 29
  • SUP 1: 175-28 Low Sep 16
  • SUP 2: 175-00 Low Sep 10 and key near-term support
  • SUP 3: 174-21 Low Sep 1
  • SUP 4: 173-16 Low Aug 28 and a key support

30yr futures are trading and remain above initial support at 175-28, Sep 16 low. The outlook remains bullish. Futures have recently attempted a recovery following the Sep 4 sell-off. For bulls, the ability to hold above 175-00, Sep 10 low is also encouraging. A break higher would open 178-17, Sep 3 high and a bull trigger. Clearance of this level would reinstate a bullish focus and open 179-20, a retracement level. Sub 175-00 levels would expose 173-16 instead.

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