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US EURODLR OPTIONS

Late 2024 Upside Insurance

US TSY FLOWS

Short End Buying

FED

NY Fed Operational Purchases

US TSY FUTURES

Long End Bid Accelerates

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  • RES 3: 153.02 - High Apr 28 2020
  • RES 2: 152.62 - High Jul 21 and the bull trigger
  • RES 1: 151.93 High Sep 10 / 15
  • PRICE: 151.34 @ 15:22 BST Oct 21
  • SUP 1: 151.18 - Low Oct 08 / 11
  • SUP 2: 150.88 - Low Apr 1
  • SUP 3: 150.38 - Low Feb 26

The recent sell-off in JGBs remains top of mind for markets, but the downside pressure has abated somewhat in recent sessions. As such, markets have undergone a minor corrective bounce, but the sentiment and trend direction remains unchanged, with a re-test of recent lows likely. Weakness through 151.18 opens 150.88 and below. For the upside argument to firm, markets need to solidify the recovery above the 151.50 level initially ahead of the 200-dma at 151.69.