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(Z1)‌‌ Gains Considered Corrective

  • RES 4: 133-12+ High Sep 22
  • RES 3: 132-21+ Low Aug 11 and recent breakout level
  • RES 2: 132-08+ High Oct 4
  • RES 1: 131-27 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: 131-11 @ 11:39 BST Oct 15
  • SUP 1: 130-25+ This week's congestion area
  • SUP 2: 130-07 1.764 proj of the Aug 4 - 11 - 17 price swing
  • SUP 3: 130-00 Psychological round number
  • SUP 4: 129-03 50.0% of the Oct '18 - Mar '20 bull cycle

Treasuries have entered a short-term corrective cycle following the recovery from 130-25+, Oct 11,12 and 13 low. This is allowing a recent oversold condition to unwind and scope exists for a climb towards the 20-day EMA at 131-27. The broader trend direction remains down and a resumption of weakness together with a break of 130-25+, would resume the bear trend and open the 130-00 handle.

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