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(Z2) Appears Vulnerable

AUSSIE 3-YEAR TECHS
  • RES 3: 97.975 - High Mar 16
  • RES 2: 97.530 - High Mar 31
  • RES 1: 96.920/97.295 - High Oct 4 and the bull trigger / High Aug 3
  • PRICE: 96.350 @ 15:09 BST Oct 18
  • SUP 1: 96.070 - Low Sep 27 and near-term bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 95.960 - Low Jun 17
  • SUP 3: 95.535 - 1.0% 10-dma envelope

Aussie 3yr futures are in consolidation mode. The contract remains vulnerable and continues to trade below 96.920, the Oct 4 high. A continuation lower would expose key support at 96.070, Sep 27 low. Clearance of this level and 95.960, the Jun 17 low, would confirm a resumption of the broader downtrend. For bulls, key short-term resistance is at 96.920. A break of this level would instead highlight a stronger correction.

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