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MNI China Daily Summary: Monday, November 06

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(Z3) Sharp Sell-Off

BRENT TECHS
Homepagemarkets-real-timeCommoditiesEnergy BulletsBulletEnergy Technical Analysis
  • RES 4: $99.73 - 1.236 proj of Jun 23 - Aug 10 - Aug 24 price swing
  • RES 3: $96.22 - 1.00 proj of Jun 23 - Aug 10 - Aug 24 price swing
  • RES 2: $95.35 - High Sep 28 and the bull trigger
  • RES 1: $90.58 - 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: $86.38 @ 05:41 BST Oct 5
  • SUP 1: $85.00 - Round number support
  • SUP 2: $82.80 - 50.0% retracement of the May 4 - Sep 28 bull run
  • SUP 3: $81.33 - Low Aug 24
  • SUP 4: $79.84 - 61.8% retracement of the May 4 - Sep 28 bull run

A sharp sell-off in Brent futures yesterday, has resulted in a break of support around the 50-day EMA - at $87.57. Note too that a short-term trendline support at $88.10, drawn from the Jun 28 low, has also been cleared. This confirms the current bearish cycle and signals scope for a deeper retracement. A continuation would open $85.00 and $82.80, a Fibonacci retracement. Initial firm resistance is at $90.58, the 20-day EMA.

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  • RES 4: $99.73 - 1.236 proj of Jun 23 - Aug 10 - Aug 24 price swing
  • RES 3: $96.22 - 1.00 proj of Jun 23 - Aug 10 - Aug 24 price swing
  • RES 2: $95.35 - High Sep 28 and the bull trigger
  • RES 1: $90.58 - 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: $86.38 @ 05:41 BST Oct 5
  • SUP 1: $85.00 - Round number support
  • SUP 2: $82.80 - 50.0% retracement of the May 4 - Sep 28 bull run
  • SUP 3: $81.33 - Low Aug 24
  • SUP 4: $79.84 - 61.8% retracement of the May 4 - Sep 28 bull run

A sharp sell-off in Brent futures yesterday, has resulted in a break of support around the 50-day EMA - at $87.57. Note too that a short-term trendline support at $88.10, drawn from the Jun 28 low, has also been cleared. This confirms the current bearish cycle and signals scope for a deeper retracement. A continuation would open $85.00 and $82.80, a Fibonacci retracement. Initial firm resistance is at $90.58, the 20-day EMA.