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ZARRUB Consolidates Lower In June After Strong Momentum In The Past Year

EM FX
  • While the ZAR has been consolidating against the USD this month amid rising uncertainty and risk aversion, the RUB has been appreciating, partly driven by the strong momentum in oil prices.
  • ZARRUB has consolidated by over 7% this month following a 40% appreciation in the past year as ZAR has been one of the biggest winners in the risk-on environment driven by liquidity injections from major central banks.
  • The pair has been retracing higher today after finding support slightly above the 5.03level, which represents the 38.2% Fibo retracement of the 2021 low high range and the 200DMA.
  • Levels to watch on the topside stands at 5.16 (100DMA), followed by 5.20 (61.8% Fibo). On the downside, next resistance to watch below 5.03 stands at 5, followed by 4.94 (23.6% Fibo).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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