June 27, 2022 18:22 GMT
The first generic congressional ballot poll released since the Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe Vs Wade has shown a dramatic swing to the Democrats.
- The NPR/Marist/PBS poll, based on data collected on 24/25 June, shows Democrats with a +7 lead in Congressional voter intentions.
- The poll has caused a significant uptick on Real Clear Politics generic congressional ballot tracker and could be an indication that the SCOTUS ruling will mobilise the Democratic base. It should, however, be caveated by warnings that it may be an outlier.
- Sarah Ewall-Wice of ABC News: "I'm skeptical over what holds this far out, but here's a NPR/PBS/Marist poll reversing generic congressional ballot: Pre-abortion opinion leak: 47% supported GOP candidate, 44% supported Democrat Post ruling Friday: 48% support Dems, 41% support GOP."
- More polls will be reported this week which may support the emergence of a trend.
Generic Congressional Ballot Real Clear Politics