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Chicago PMI sees slowing US growth prospects spilling over into low demand expectations

US DATA
MNI (London)

This month the Chicago PMI special question asked firms “Do you see the prospect of slowing global / U.S. growth impacting demand for your product?”

  • Responses were significantly varied, over a third (34.9%) expected a downturn, the same as expecting unchanged demand. Meanwhile, 16.3% of respondents were already seeing a notable downturn.
  • Despite New Orders seeing some recovery, the indicator stayed below the 12-month average as demand remained muted in August.
  • US GDP contracted by -1.6% q/q in Q1 and by -0.6% q/q in Q2, entering a technical recession led by a fall in inventories and business investment as high inflation crimps growth looking forward. The Chicago PMI report confirms changes in investment plans will likely occur, leading to subdued activity through the second half of the year.

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