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###(1/2)LESS EVENTFULL ECB MEETING.........>

ECB VIEW
ECB VIEW: ###(1/2)LESS EVENTFULL ECB MEETING EXPECTED BY BANKS:
- Citi: No change in policy likely as monetary policy has been largely set on
auto-pilot. Expect 15bp hike in depo rate in Sep 2019 and then 25bp in Dec 2019
- Barclays: Expect few new insights given the comprehensive roadmap already
announced. 2 possible areas to watch would be comments on reinvestment dynamics
and Greek bonds being added to PSPP list.
- BNP: Despite perk up in data do not expect ECB to sound much different. Draghi
likely to dodge q's on timing of next rate hike, operation twist while possible
is difficult to implement and unlikely to be announced at this stage
- Nordea: July meeting not likely to offer much new information as data has not
surprised since last meeting in June. Slight risk GC clarify forward guidance.
- UBS: Meeting likely to be less eventful than June's. Focus likely on ECB
latest assessment of economic outlook with markets hoping for better
understanding of QE reinvestment and timing of first rate hike (Sep 2019).
- RBC: Likely a relatively low-key affair. Main interest will be whether or not
ECB will give any further details on how its reinvestment strategy will work.

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